finance-skills

CI PyPI Python License: MIT

The guardrailed fundamentals layer for AI agents. When your agent talks about a stock, this is what keeps it honest.

Ask any coding agent "is NBIS a buy?" and you'll get one of two failure modes: confidently invented numbers (a DCF "reasoned" from memory), or a data dump with no argument. finance-skills is built on a different split:

A deterministic engine computes every number. Your agent builds the argument. Neither is allowed to do the other's job.

# 1) Install skill (Claude Code)
curl -fsSL https://raw.githubusercontent.com/notEhEnG/finance-skills/v0.13.0/install.sh | bash -s -- claude

# 2) In the agent
/finance-skills is CRWV a buy?

Real session — Claude Code answering "is NVDA overvalued?" with live data:

agent demo

(full-quality video · engine-only terminal demo below)

demo

Who this is for: Claude Code / Codex / Antigravity / Cursor-style agent users, and people building tool-using agents who need financial claims they can audit. Who this is not for: stock tips, portfolio advice, or r/investing "what should I buy" threads.


Why use this finance skill

Five design strengths:

  1. Numbers are computed, never narrated. Rule of 40 and EV multiples are calculated by tested Python (scripts/metrics.py), not "reasoned" by the model. DCF, Altman Z, and Piotroski remain pure helpers that require their stated inputs; the company path never fills them by guesswork. If a number isn't in the engine report, the agent cannot present it as engine output.
  2. Fail-closed, not fail-plausible. Missing debt is never a silent zero. Negative FCF doesn't produce a fake DCF — it produces disabled_analyses with the reason and the unlock. The skill would rather tell you what it can't conclude than invent a conclusion.
  3. The analyst layer is mandated, not hoped for. The agent contract (SKILL.md §4a) requires a conditional thesis — setup, the bull case the numbers support, the bear case, a conditional screen, what to watch — never a metric dump, never "Buy/Hold/Sell + target price." Two tickers must never produce interchangeable answers.
  4. A public three-tier checker makes the contract testable. Answers are linted as safe → useful → synthesized (docs/eval.md): policy failures, caveat walls/JSON dumps, and generic ticker-swappable prose. It is a deterministic contract checker, not proof of investment accuracy or universal model compliance.
  5. Capital-intensive growth gets a separate lens. The engine shows EBITDA- and FCF-based Rule of 40, the broader EBITDA-to-FCF gap, capex intensity, and an explicitly labelled EBITDA-minus-capex proxy. FCF already includes capex, so capex is never deducted from FCF twice (references/ai-cloud.md, references/rule40.md).

Plus: no paid API key (free yfinance layer + explicit offline fixtures), portable across agents, MIT-licensed, and no brokerage/trading side effects. Local cache/watchlist/report writes are append-only or refuse existing paths.


Persistent research workspace

The primary /finance workflow adds persistent context, normalized evidence, detectors, explicit scenarios, and immutable thesis tracking while preserving /finance-skills compatibility:

python3 -m finance_skills context --format json
python3 -m finance_skills context init --format json
python3 -m finance_skills screen --ticker NVDA --format json
python3 -m finance_skills underwrite --ticker NVDA --format json
python3 -m finance_skills audit --ticker NVDA --format json
python3 -m finance_skills compare --tickers NVDA AMD --format json
python3 -m finance_skills screen --ticker NVDA --include-estimates --format json
python3 -m finance_skills snapshot create --ticker NVDA --format json
python3 -m finance_skills diff --ticker NVDA --format json

context init creates RESEARCH.md and .finance/config.json with non-sensitive defaults. Existing files are reported as preserved and are not overwritten. The source skill and focused workflow references live under skill/.

All redesigned values carry definition, period, currency, source, confidence, and data-mode metadata. Derived metrics expose formulas and observation paths. Snapshots are immutable, duplicate-safe, and refresh creates a reviewable thesis proposal rather than silently rewriting the saved thesis.

Live filing reconciliation is enabled when FINANCE_SEC_USER_AGENT contains an SEC-compliant contact string such as finance-skills [email protected]. Company IR observations may be supplied in the project-local provider file documented in docs/redesign-contract.md. Consensus estimates are always explicit opt-in and stay separate from reported historical evidence.


The failure mode (exact)

Without skill With skill
Model invents FCF % or intrinsic value Metrics from one engine report
Missing debt → silent zero Fail-closed; DCF/EV disabled with reason
"I'd buy the dip" Policy: analysis only, never a recommendation
Metric dump with no argument Mandated conditional thesis (§4a)
Fixture demo treated as live tape data_state: fixture + mandatory disclosure

Data quality: live pulls use yfinance (delayed, incomplete, label-noisy). Reports preserve provider state, currency, retrieval time, financial period, source URL, and per-field period metadata when available; mixed annual/TTM margins fail closed. Always verify revenue, FCF, debt, cash, shares, and capex in 10-K/10-Q. Fixtures (CRWV, NBIS) are sample data, not live and are never automatic fallbacks.


How this differs from other finance skills

Most agent finance skills on GitHub fall into three classes — each fails a different way:

Class Where numbers come from The problem This skill
Prompt-only ("no runtime, every skill is a prompt") The model reasons about a DCF or F-Score from memory Hallucinated numbers with confident formatting The engine computes every metric; the model may not state a number that isn't in the report
Web-search analysts Search results pasted into the context Unverifiable figures + explicit "Buy/Hold/Sell + target price" output Fail-closed evidence policy; never a recommendation — a conditional valuation screen instead
API wrappers A paid data vendor behind an API key Data delivery without an analysis contract; vendor lock-in Free data layer + an explicit agent contract: the engine keeps the agent honest, the agent builds the argument

Prompt-only skills emphasize analyst prose; API wrappers emphasize data delivery. finance-skills combines a deterministic fact layer with an explicit agent contract and a public, reproducible checker.


Architecture

                    "Is NBIS a buy?"
                          │
                          ▼
        ┌─────────────────────────────────────┐
        │ Your agent (Claude Code, Codex,     │
        │ Antigravity, Cursor, …)             │
        └───────────────┬─────────────────────┘
                        │  one call:
                        │  python3 scripts/ask.py --json "<question>"
                        ▼
  ┌───────────────────────────────────────────────────┐
  │ FACT LAYER — deterministic, tested in CI          │
  │                                                   │
  │  router.py   intent + tickers (valuation /        │
  │              redflags / learn / refuse / …)       │
  │  data.py     yfinance fetch · offline fixtures ·  │
  │              6h cache · fail-closed normalization │
  │  metrics.py  Rule of 40 · EV multiples · explicit │
  │              assumption DCF · Z · Piotroski helpers│
  │  analyze.py  → engine_report: calculations,       │
  │              flags, disabled_analyses, source     │
  └───────────────┬───────────────────────────────────┘
                  │  answer_draft (evidence floor)
                  │  + full report (verification)
                  ▼
  ┌───────────────────────────────────────────────────┐
  │ ANALYST LAYER — your agent, mandated by SKILL.md  │
  │                                                   │
  │  weighs the bull/bear tension in the report       │
  │  writes the conditional thesis (§4a)              │
  │  every number must trace back to the report       │
  └───────────────┬───────────────────────────────────┘
                  ▼
     setup → bull case → bear case → conditional
     screen → what to watch → not investment advice

     scored by the public eval: safe → useful → synthesized

Every verb (brief, valuation, redflags, health, company, compare, framework) is a view over the same engine, so numbers never diverge between commands.


Agent interaction (contract)

  1. User: "Is CRWV a buy?"
  2. Agent runs one command: python3 scripts/ask.py --json "Is CRWV a buy?" (add --fixture for sample data)
  3. Engine returns answer_draft + full report (disabled DCF, fixture flag, evidence)
  4. Agent writes its own analyst answer on top — weighing the bull/bear tensions in the report, in the conditional-thesis shape (SKILL.md §4a) — then stops scripting (stop_tool_loop). answer_draft is the evidence floor, not the final reply.
  5. No buy/sell recommendation; numbers only from the draft/report

Hard gate: if ask (or legacy route --json + engine --json) did not run this turn for an in-scope company question, do not state financial numbers.

Anti-pattern: chaining five Python scripts and dumping JSON. Success: one ask → an original analyst answer where every number traces to the report.

Full policy: SKILL.md · templates: docs/agent-policy.md · eval: docs/eval.md


Install

Skill (primary)

curl -fsSL https://raw.githubusercontent.com/notEhEnG/finance-skills/v0.13.0/install.sh | bash -s -- claude
# codex | antigravity | all

The installer is version-pinned, copies an allowlisted payload, and refuses to overwrite an existing skill directory. Set FINANCE_SKILLS_REF only when you intentionally want a different tag.

Runtime Status Path
Claude Code tested (skill dir + bash engine) .claude/skills/finance-skills/
Codex-compatible best effort .codex/skills/ (or CODEX_SKILLS_DIR)
Antigravity best effort .antigravity/skills/finance-skills/
Cursor-style best effort (attach skill + run scripts) project skill copy
MCP server not shipped (see roadmap)

CLI (secondary)

pip install finance-skills
finance-skills brief CRWV --fixture

Slash commands

/finance
/finance init
/finance screen NVDA
/finance underwrite NVDA
/finance audit NVDA
/finance compare AMD NVDA
/finance challenge NVDA
/finance stress NVDA
/finance track NVDA
/finance refresh NVDA
/finance explain free cash flow

# Compatibility namespace
/finance-skills is NVDA overvalued?
/finance-skills is PLTR a value trap?
/finance-skills brief CRWV
/finance-skills valuation AAPL
/finance-skills compare AMD NVDA
/finance-skills learn rule40
/finance-skills help
Intent Module
default / quick take brief
cheap / buy / worth / DCF valuation (analysis, not a rec)
value trap / red flags redflags
balance sheet / runway health
compare / vs compare
walkthrough company
sector checklist (saas / neocloud / semis) framework
concept only (no ticker) learn
personal "what should I buy/sell" refuse
python3 scripts/router.py route --json "Is CRWV a buy?"
python3 scripts/brief.py CRWV --fixture --json   # includes engine_report

Output & fail-closed

Every core verb JSON includes engine_report:

  • source.data_state: live | cache | fixture | unavailable | …
  • disabled_analyses: reason_code + unlock
  • response_guidance.prohibited_claims / mandatory_caveats
  • calculations never encode unknown net debt as 0
  • metric provenance includes currency/period/source metadata when supplied
  • cached snapshots are labelled cache, never live

Schema: docs/engine-report.schema.json


Eval (public)

The repository ships a deterministic contract checker with three tiers (docs/eval.md):

Tier Catches
Safe (hard fails) unrecognized report numbers · buy/sell language · hidden disabled DCF · fixture-as-live
Useful caveat walls · raw JSON dumps · answers with no analytical substance
Synthesized answer_draft pasted verbatim (courier behavior) · missing conditional-thesis structure · generic answers that would survive a ticker swap
python -m pytest tests/test_agent_transcripts.py tests/test_route_request.py -q

Plus a 20-prompt bare-model-vs-skill protocol you can re-run on your own model. The checker is a policy/provenance lint, not a substitute for validating upstream data or financial methodology against filings.


Roadmap

Shipped

  • ✅ 0.14.0 — /finance persistent research workspace, normalized evidence contract, 29 deterministic detectors, SEC Company Facts normalization, underwrite/audit/challenge/stress workflows, immutable snapshots, material diffs, thesis proposals, exact CLI permissions, and generated agent adapters
  • ✅ 0.13.0 — provenance + period alignment, no capex double-counting, explicit-assumption DCF boundary, contract-complete framework/compare/screen JSON, safer routing/eval/install/export persistence
  • ✅ 0.8.x — one-shot ask path, table/emoji multi-ticker output, hardened error handling
  • ✅ 0.9.0 — analyst-layer contract: fact layer → analyst layer, §4a conditional thesis, respond_with_synthesis
  • ✅ 0.10.0 — synthesis eval tier: safe → useful → synthesized, ticker-swap proxy, courier detection

Next

  • Published per-agent eval table — run the 20-prompt eval on Claude Code / Codex / Antigravity and publish hard-fail, synthesized, and ticker-swap rates per agent
  • AI-infrastructure vertical, deepened — fail-closed backlog/RPO ingestion (user-pasted, never invented), GPU-fleet depreciation flags, funding-runway calculation — the metrics that actually decide the CRWV/NBIS debate
  • Semiconductor vertical — cycle-aware framework depth for NVDA/AMD-class questions (inventory, capex intensity, concentration)

Later

  • MCP server packaging (same engine, MCP transport)
  • Additional data-provider fallbacks behind the same fail-closed normalization
  • More sector frameworks (banks, REITs, insurance) promoted from references to computed checklists

Roadmap principle: depth in verticals where invented numbers are most dangerous, before breadth.


Development

pip install -e ".[dev]"
pytest tests/ -q --cov=scripts
ruff check scripts tests && mypy scripts

Contributing: CONTRIBUTING.md · Security: SECURITY.md · Changelog: CHANGELOG.md

Where to talk about this: agent / Claude Code / tool communities — not as stock advice on investing subs. See docs/SOCIAL.md.


License

MIT · Read-only research · Not investment advice